Under Obama, “millions could lose their health care coverage and be forced into a government pool.”

Claim:   Obama broke a promise that “if you like your health care plan, you’ll be able to keep your health care plan” under the new law. The narrator states that “millions could lose their health care coverage and be forced into a government pool.”

Ad(s):  Obama’s Promise (60 sec)/Obama’s Promise (30 sec)

Sponsor(s):  Crossroads GPS

Air Dates: May 17 – Jun. 12, 2012

Total Estimated Spending On This Claim:  $1,312,972 ($2,070,934 Total)

Markets: Burlington, Cedar Rapids, Charlotte, Charlotesville, Cleveland, Colorado Springs, Columbus (OH), Davenport, Dayton, Erie, Flint, Ft. Meyers, Grand Junction, Grand Rapids, Greensboro, Greenville (NC), Greenville (SC), Harrisburg, Jacksonville, Johnstown, Lansing, Las Vegas, Manchester (NH), Mobile, Norfolk, Omaha, Orlando, Pittsburgh, Portlant (ME), Raleigh, Richmond, Roanoke, Sioux City, Tampa, Toledo, Traverse City, Washington D.C., West Palm Beach, Wilmington, Youngstown, Tri-Cities

FactCheck’s Summary:  

That’s largely true, though an on-screen figure exaggerates the likely number affected…to describe those exchanges as a “government pool” is pejorative and misleading, and invites a negative emotional response. Who wants to be herded into a “government pool”? In fact, the state-run exchanges are to be modeled on the federal exchange through which members of Congress and millions of federal workers have received their coverage for years.  The ad also greatly exaggerates the number of workers likely to be affected. On screen it shows a graphic saying “as many as 20 million could lose” employer-sponsored coverage. That’s not at all likely, as  we noted in a May 11 item  about a U.S. Chamber of Commerce attack ad making a similar claim. The CBO gave that estimate only for a very pessimistic set of assumptions about large, medium and small companies, assumptions that it said “have only rarely been reported in the research literature, and even then only for the behavior of small firms.”  The CBO also said that under another, very optimistic set of assumptions, the number of people obtaining insurance through their employer might  increase, on net, by 3 million.  Click here to read more

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